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LobbyChess Weekly Column

Vol. VI • October Week 1 Edition
Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Your weekly digest of the sharpest tactics, biggest upsets, and most grueling marathons.

📖 Featured: B06 Modern Defense, Black’s Success
Moment of the Week ·
 
 
▸ Inside
The Weekly Column · October Week 1

LobbyChess: The First Week of October 2026

Welcome to the LobbyChess Weekly Column.


This was an online speed week. Of the 5,766 games in the survey, 4,661 came from Titled Tuesday and three separate three minute events on the Thursday, which is 81 percent of everything played.

In the second of those Thursday events, Maghsoodloo beat Duda with the white pieces. Duda was the higher rated player at 2741 against 2705.

Elsewhere: a 1934 rated player beat a 2638 in a Queen's Pawn, a 704 point gap and the largest upset of the week; six players tied on 44 tournament games; and a Benoni ran to 153 moves before anybody was willing to stop.

The featured opening is the Modern Defense, 1.e4 g6 2.d4 Bg7 3.Nc3 d6, which scores 62.0 percent for Black across 213 games in the season.

Front Page

Brilliancies of the Week

!! Brilliant! Great?? Blunder✗ Miss# Mate

The week’s ten most brilliant moves. Each board opens at the position: play the move.

A brilliancy here is a sound sacrifice or the start of a forced mate. These are moves that were both best and hard to see.

Fifteen survived selection out of 1,688 candidate moves, and ten of those survived a second pass in which the whole game is graded rather than the moment.

Each board opens one move before the point, so you can look for it yourself first.

Best Checkmates

The most spectacular forced mates, opened where the mate becomes forced.

Every finish here is a sacrifice that forced mate by the shortest route available.

Fifteen were selected and ten survived the full game grade. The boards open at the moment it starts, and the complete game with every move graded is a click away.

Unfortunate Blunders

Winning positions thrown away in a single move, over the board. The board opens just before the blunder.

Won positions that got away in a single move. The engine looks for one clean collapse late in a game, in a position that was winning before it.

Two games met that description this week, and both are here.

Top Games of the Week

The highest-rated games of the week, in full.

The strongest games played anywhere in the week, ranked by the two players' combined rating.

The top pairing is So at 2774 against Nepomniachtchi at 2719.

Inside This Issue
The First Move

Top Players’ Opening Choices

1.e4 and 1.d4 still rule elite chess, but the very best keep their repertoires deliberately wide.

This one looks across the whole season, tracking what the world's top twenty actually play with the white pieces.

The season now runs to 156,196 games.

46.1%
1.e4 share of all games
34.1%
1.d4 share
41% · 54%
1.e4: top 10 vs bottom 10
7
distinct first moves seen

Across the season, the opening choices of the world’s top 20 confirm a familiar truth: 1.e4 and 1.d4 still dominate, together accounting for nearly four of every five games, with 1.e4 leading at 46.1 percent and 1.d4 at 34.1 percent. The sharper story is how differently the strongest players distribute their choices. Among the top 10 players 1.e4 accounts for about 41 percent of games, against more than 54 percent among the lower 10, the elite spread their games across more first moves and lean less on a single favorite.

A few signatures stand out. Nakamura leaned on 1.b3 more than anyone else, a reminder that even at the top an offbeat first move remains a weapon, while Keymer built around the flexible 1.Nf3. The chart below shows every player’s first-move mix.

2026-10-06T10:33:17.835888 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.8.4, https://matplotlib.org/ Carlsen, M 2841 Caruana, F 2792 Nakamura, Hi 2792 Abdusattorov, Nodirbek 2780 Sindarov, Javokhir 2778 So, W 2774 Keymer, Vincent 2767 Giri, A 2767 Erigaisi, Arjun 2761 Praggnanandhaa, R 2761 Firouzja, Alireza 2759 Wei Yi 2753 Karjakin, Sergey 2750 Duda, J 2743 Niemann, Hans Moke 2742 Anand, V 2739 Ding Liren 2738 Tabatabaei, M 2737 Van Foreest, Jorden 2735 Nepomniachtchi, I 2735 1.e4 1.d4 1.Nf3 1.c4 1.b3

▲ First-move mix of the top 20, ordered by peak rating. Shares are across the five most-played first moves; rare 1.a4 and 1.f4 are omitted.

The Carnage Curve

Decisive Below the Elite, Cautious at the Top

Across 5,766 games, the club and expert ranks produced the most decisive chess, while the 2600 elite drew far more of theirs.

2026-10-06T10:33:17.870168 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.8.4, https://matplotlib.org/ 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 Average rating of the two players 0 25 50 75 100% 86.8% 92.9% 91.3% 85.8% 82.3%

▲ Decisive-game rate by rating band (5,766 games). Decisiveness peaks near 92.9% at the 2000 band, then slides to 82.3% among the 2600 elite.

5,766
games surveyed
88.6%
ended decisively
93% · 70%
online vs OTB
14.9%
100+ gap upsets won outright
🏆 The Roundup
So topped Titled Tue 29th Sep 2026 at 9.5/11.
👑 Stars Watch
Duda 23-3-7; Caruana 16-2-4; So 8-3-0; Erigaisi 7-1-3 (games this week).
🐉 Giant-Kill of the Week
Rueda Ahumada,Gabriel Omar, rated 1934, took down Oparin,G (2638), a 704-point gap in a single game. See David vs Goliath →
🛡️ Iron Man
Maghsoodloo led the 44-game ironmen, scoring 35.5 for 81% (6 players tied on 44 games).
⚔️ The Battleground
The A05 was the single busiest opening at 166 games, with Black scoring 40.4%. The A45 followed at 165 games (Black 47.0%).
📖 This Week’s Deep Dive
B06 Modern Defense: Black’s Success

An interactive study of Black’s most instructive wins in the Modern Defense.

Read the full breakdown →
Inside This Issue
🔥 Players on Fire: Who overperformed their rating this week.
⚔️ Opening Explorer: The season’s highest-scoring lines by Elo band.
🧝 David vs Goliath: The full board of the week’s giant-kills.
⏱️ Endgame Grinds: The marathons that refused to end.
🛡️ Ironmen: The grinders who played the most chess.
⚡ Master Miniatures: Elite games decided in under 25 moves.
👑 Carlsen’s Corner: Every Magnus game this season, replayable.

Players Outperforming Their Rating

Performance rating counts who you played and what you scored against them.

PlayerGamesScoreActual RatingPerformance RatingRating Diff
Tsydypov,Z118.525092790281
Ibarra Jerez,JC117.525332740207
Ponkratov,P53.525402723183
Lazavik,Denis2218.026282781153
Moussard,J2014.526202767147
Esipenko,Andrey54.026802822142
Matlakov,M118.525962735139
Kravtsiv,M118.025982718120
Vetokhin,Savva53.025552666111
Theodorou,Nikolas119.026332738105
Bok,B3120.025602660100
Movahed,Sina3325.02576267498
Balakrishnan,Praveen1812.02500259595
So,W119.52774285177
Kokarev,Dm52.52510258272
PlayerGamesScoreActual RatingPerformance RatingRating Diff
Moskvinov,Prokhor117.522362521285
Sobol,Matvii117.523062576270
Tran,Dang Minh Quang3320.522462510264
Bodnaruk,A54.523542613259
Haydon,D116.523032544241
Sahib,Singh107.523742607233
Kaplan,Avi Harrison97.022522474222
Baturin-Vinogradov,Miroslav86.522122433221
Negrean,Andrei117.022922509217
Koshulyan,Egor A.117.523922608216
Mahdavi,Reza3325.524892698209
Prokofiev,Valentyn64.524052611206
Biriya,Mohammadamin117.022692470201
Amburgy,Ryan117.023162514198
Nosach,Roman Al2113.022862484198
PlayerGamesScoreActual RatingPerformance RatingRating Diff
Bui Quang Huy1710.519142403489
Rueda Ahumada,Gabriel Omar116.519342370436
Beznosov,Timofey117.020832470387
Espinoza Villanueva,Rodrigo105.520072385378
Shavkatov,Temur2214.020272404377
Divith Reddy Adulla115.519302291361
Bialkowski,Jan73.519342292358
Agmanov,Begman118.021662521355
Solano Trillos,Thaliana113.017832108325
Alvarado,C116.020162338322
Hoang Tan Vinh116.019942312318
Nguyen Thi Phuong Anh114.018692185316
Gokul G116.021052415310
Asish Panda116.519742280306
Bogaudinov,R2210.519122212300

Opening Explorer (Season)

The Explorer is built from the whole season rather than a single week. It splits three ways: by time control, by the rating of the two players, and by what actually happened.

Explore the highest-performing openings across different Elo tiers and time controls.

David vs Goliath: The Biggest Upsets

These are underdog stories ranked by how far the winner reached above their rating to win.

Rueda Ahumada, rated 1934, beat Oparin at 2638 in a Queen's Pawn on Titled Tuesday. That is 704 points, and it was the largest of 422 upsets in the week.

The Endgame Grind: Longest Games

Ten games that would not end, ranked by length.

The longest was Schmakel against Padhya, a Benoni that reached move 153 before the players agreed a draw.

The Most Active Tournament Grinders

A straight count of games played in the week, nothing more.

Ties are normal here, because most of the volume comes from the same handful of online events. This week six players finished level on 44 games.

PlayerGames PlayedScoreAvg Elo
Maghsoodloo,Parham4435.52705
Bortnyk,Olexandr4431.52604
Kazakouski,Valery4429.02564
Kamsky,G4427.02592
Rustemov,A4424.52525
Benito Colmenares,Jose Fabian4424.02121
Kollars,Dmitrij4327.52623
Hengen,Luke O4314.02088
Szpar,Milosz4226.52507
Terry,R3925.52500
Schilstra,Laurens3613.02172
Moosavifar,Seyed Abolfazl3521.02419
Ashraf,Artin3421.52470
Janaszak,Daw3417.02265
Mahdavi,Reza3325.52489

Best Wins of the Top 10 Ironmen

Blink and You Missed It: Master Crushes

Fifteen decisive games between strong players, none of them longer than twenty moves.

These are filtered after grading rather than before it, because a walkover and a resignation look identical in the file. Fifteen of the twenty candidates were kept, and none were thrown out as abnormal terminations.

Magnus Carlsen: Season Performance

Carlsen's Corner covers every Carlsen game since mid-May.

He did not play in this week's games, so the archive is unchanged.

Season Record: 105 Wins | 31 Draws | 26 Losses